1 min readFeb 11, 2020
All of that stuff is politics as usual. But I think the 2018 results are more informative than the 2016 results, when it comes to making predictions for 2020. The 2018 turnout was based on hindsight from 2016 — the people who didn’t take Trump seriously in 2016, learned from their mistake. Right now in early 2020, no one has forgotten 2016 (least of all me). So I expect that the 2020 turnout will be more like 2018, which means Trump will likely lose. But again, we’ll find out soon enough if I’m right.